Wednesday, October 29, 2008

538 -- the best polling site going

Forget the rest of the polls and the "experts" who pontificate about them. The best place to track the 2008 presidential campaign is the website FiveThirtyEight.

The site was started by a baseball statistician named Nate Silver, who is a partner in a firm called Baseball Prospectus, which complies and analyzes primarily baseball statistics, as well as some other sports.  In starting his site, Silver explained that baseball and politics are both data-driven enterprises, yet was frustrated by how badly the data were cherry-picked and misused by the captains of their respective industries.  For people, whether professional statisticians or interested civilians, interested in what all these polls mean and what they're saying, check this site out.

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